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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Yin Xiyue denied that emergency martial law was a civil strife. South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech today (December 12), denying that "emergency martial law" was a "civil strife". He once again criticized the opposition party for enslaving Congress and abusing the power to impeach public officials. Yin Xiyue said that both impeachment and investigation will face it head-on.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party tried to paralyze the government. The opposition tried to get me out of office.

The Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, and the Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, up 1.61% in the day.He was sentenced to 12 years in prison for selling more than 80 classified documents to pay off gambling debts. Today, the Ministry of National Security announced two anti-espionage cases: when experts in the core scientific research field of a university went abroad for face-to-face signing, visa officials kept asking about the research progress and the source of project funds, which aroused the experts' vigilance and immediately reported to the school and state security organs. During the academic conference, the experts met with people from abroad, and the other side hoped to carry out "deep cooperation" by providing academic convenience as bait. In the end, the experts calmly responded and reported to the school as soon as they returned to China, which not only protected their personal safety but also effectively safeguarded the core secret safety. Li Moumou, the core secret-related personnel of an institution, is addicted to online gambling and owes huge gambling debts. In order to repay the debt, Li took the initiative to hook up with overseas spy intelligence agencies, took photos of more than 80 classified documents and sent them to the other party, collecting spy funds of more than 100,000 yuan. The state security organs detected the case in time, and Li was sentenced to 12 years in prison for espionage. There are obvious loopholes in the anti-espionage security work of Li's unit, and three responsible personnel have been punished by party discipline and government affairs. (CCTV)Japanese and Korean stock markets opened higher, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 1.21% to 39,849.97. South Korea's KOSPI index rose 0.6% to 2,456.63.

Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party tried to paralyze the government. The opposition tried to get me out of office.The restricted shares with a market value of 2.546 billion yuan were lifted today. Yongda, Sitaili and Dameng Data were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Thursday (December 12), the restricted shares of 8 companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 175 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 2.546 billion yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 10 million. Si Taili, Yongda and Ningxin New Materials were among the top, with 95,895,400 shares, 65,203,300 shares and 6,633,200 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili and Dameng Data are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 1.039 billion yuan, 992 million yuan and 349 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of the two companies released from the ban exceeded 10%. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili Co., Ltd. and Ningxincai Co., Ltd. have the highest proportion of lifting the ban, accounting for 27.17%, 21.87% and 7.13% respectively.